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Regulation · Intermediate

SEC vs CFTC: how US crypto regulation is split, the 2026 token taxonomy and what the CLARITY Act would change

How the security-or-commodity question decides everything, what the SEC's 2026 token taxonomy and Regulation Crypto Assets changed, the CFTC's move into spot markets, and where the CLARITY Act stands after its September 2026 Senate defeat.

Crypto Coin Show Editorial Desk·Updated October 5, 2026·26 min read·Educational, not investment advice

Key takeaways

  • US crypto regulation is still split between the SEC (securities) and the CFTC (commodities and derivatives), and the bill meant to settle the split in statute, the CLARITY Act, failed a Senate cloture vote 49 to 50 on September 15, 2026.
  • The SEC moved the line itself: a March 17, 2026 interpretation sorted crypto assets into five categories (digital commodities, digital collectibles, digital tools, stablecoins and digital securities) and said most crypto assets are not themselves securities.
  • On August 21, 2026 the SEC proposed Regulation Crypto Assets, with a $5 million Startup Exemption over four years, a $75 million per year Fundraising Exemption and a conditional safe harbor from the term “investment contract”; comments close October 20, 2026.
  • The CFTC, under Chairman Michael Selig (sworn in December 22, 2025), opened its own rulemaking on October 5, 2026 for federally registered crypto spot and leveraged retail trading, the authority it lacked for a decade.
  • Both agencies are rebuilding the framework through rules and exemptions rather than statute, which means the next administration could reverse it; Commissioner Hester Peirce, who led the SEC’s Crypto Task Force, left the agency on October 1, 2026.

Who this is for: compliance officers, fund managers, founders planning a token launch and policy readers who need to classify a token under the 2026 US framework, understand which agency supervises which market, and track what is still unsettled after the Senate’s September 2026 vote.

The single question that has shaped crypto regulation in the United States for a decade is deceptively simple: is this token a security or a commodity? The answer determines which agency regulates it, which rules an exchange listing it must follow, what disclosures an issuer owes, and whether a company can operate in the US at all. Two agencies claim the territory, their tests were written for a different century, and Congress has spent years failing to settle it.

The 2025 to 2026 period changed the shape of the problem without solving it. The SEC stopped treating most tokens as securities and started writing rules for the ones that are. The CFTC, which could only chase fraud in spot markets after the fact, began building a registration regime for crypto trading venues. Congress got closer than ever to a market structure law and then, on September 15, 2026, fell one vote short of even starting floor debate. The result in October 2026 is a framework that is far clearer than it was in 2024 but rests almost entirely on agency discretion.

This guide explains the two mandates, the SEC’s new taxonomy and proposed rulebook, the CFTC’s expansion into spot markets and event contracts, where the CLARITY Act stands, GENIUS implementation, and a worked example classifying three real tokens.

US crypto regulation by the numbers

49 to 50Senate cloture vote on the CLARITY Act, 60 neededUS Senate roll call 234, September 15, 2026
5Crypto asset categories in the SEC interpretationSEC Release 2026-30, March 17, 2026
$75mAnnual cap under the proposed Fundraising ExemptionSEC Regulation Crypto Assets proposal, August 21, 2026
294 to 134House vote passing the CLARITY ActUS House of Representatives, July 17, 2025
60 daysComment window on the CFTC crypto market ANPRMCFTC Release 9307-26, October 5, 2026
Jan 2027Latest GENIUS Act effective date (18 months after signing)GENIUS Act, signed July 18, 2025

Two agencies, two mandates

The Securities and Exchange Commission regulates the offer and sale of securities: stocks, bonds, investment contracts. Anyone issuing a security must register the offering or qualify for an exemption and provide ongoing disclosure; any venue trading securities must register as an exchange or broker-dealer. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission regulates derivatives markets on commodities: futures, options and swaps. Critically, the CFTC’s authority over the spot market for a commodity, meaning direct buying and selling rather than derivatives, has been limited to policing fraud and manipulation after the fact. It could not license or supervise a spot bitcoin exchange the way it supervises a futures exchange.

That gap was the problem. Bitcoin and ether are treated as commodities, so a spot exchange trading them was supervised by nobody at the federal level beyond anti-money-laundering rules from FinCEN and a patchwork of state money transmitter licences. If a token was a security, the exchange trading it needed SEC registration, which no crypto exchange had, and the SEC’s position under its previous leadership was that most tokens other than bitcoin were securities. The result was that the largest exchanges in the country operated for years under the threat of being declared illegal.

How the two regimes differ in practice

Question SEC (securities) CFTC (commodities) Where crypto sits in October 2026
What is regulated Offer, sale and trading of securities, including investment contracts Derivatives on commodities; fraud and manipulation in spot markets Digital securities and tokens still under an investment contract go to the SEC; digital commodities to the CFTC
Issuer obligations Registration or exemption, audited financials, ongoing reporting None for the commodity itself Proposed Regulation Crypto Assets would create crypto-specific exemptions (Aug 2026)
Spot venue supervision Exchange, ATS or broker-dealer registration Historically none; anti-fraud only CFTC ANPRM of Oct 5, 2026 proposes a new registration category for crypto venues
Derivatives Security-based swaps, options on securities Futures, swaps, options on commodities, event contracts Crypto perpetuals and event contracts self-certified on CFTC-registered DCMs
Custody Qualified custodian rules for advisers and funds FCM segregation rules for derivatives customers SEC proposed crypto custody rules for advisers and funds on Oct 1, 2026

The custody row matters more than it looks. An adviser holding a token that is a security must use a qualified custodian under the Advisers Act; a futures customer’s collateral sits with a futures commission merchant under CFTC segregation rules; a plain spot commodity holding has no federal custody rule at all. Our custody guide covers the mechanics. The SEC’s October 1, 2026 proposal would permit adviser self-custody of crypto assets under conditions and let state trust companies act as custodians, with comments due 60 days after Federal Register publication.

The Howey test and the 2026 taxonomy

Whether something is an investment contract, and therefore a security, is decided under a 1946 Supreme Court case about Florida orange groves. SEC v. Howey asks whether there is an investment of money, in a common enterprise, with a reasonable expectation of profits, derived from the entrepreneurial or managerial efforts of others. Applied to tokens, the argument turns on the last two prongs. A token sold by a founding team to fund development, where buyers expect the team’s work to raise the price, looks like an investment contract. A token on a network that runs itself, with no central party whose efforts drive value, looks less like one.

The SEC’s 2019 framework and its litigation against Ripple, Coinbase, Binance and others tried to apply that logic case by case. The July 2023 Ripple ruling in the Southern District of New York, which held that XRP sold programmatically on exchanges was not a security while institutional sales were, showed how unstable the results could be: the same token was and was not a security depending on who bought it and how.

Five categories instead of one test

On March 17, 2026 the Commission issued an interpretation, Release 33-11412, that replaced the case-by-case approach with a taxonomy. It sorts crypto assets into five groups and states that most crypto assets are not themselves securities:

  1. Digital commodities. Assets intrinsically linked to, and deriving their value from, the programmatic operation of a functional crypto system and from market dynamics, rather than from an expectation of profit from others’ managerial efforts. Not securities.
  2. Digital collectibles. Assets designed to be collected or used, which may represent rights to artwork, music, video, trading cards, in-game items, or digital references to memes, characters, events or trends. Not securities.
  3. Digital tools. Assets that perform a practical function such as a membership, ticket, credential, title instrument or identity badge. Not securities.
  4. Stablecoins. Defined by reference to the GENIUS Act as a payment stablecoin issued by a permitted payment stablecoin issuer. Not securities; see our stablecoin guide.
  5. Digital securities. Instruments already enumerated in the definition of security (a share, a bond, a fund interest) that are formatted as or represented by a crypto asset, with the ownership record kept on a crypto network. These are securities, full stop.

The interpretation then separates the asset from the contract. A non-security crypto asset becomes subject to an investment contract when an issuer offers it by inducing an investment of money in a common enterprise with representations or promises to undertake essential managerial efforts from which a purchaser would reasonably expect to profit. That contract ends when the issuer either fulfils those promises or fails to satisfy them, at which point the asset is just an asset again. The same release stated that protocol mining, protocol staking and wrapping a non-security asset do not involve securities offers, and that certain airdrops are not an investment of money under Howey. Those positions matter for the guides on staking and airdrops.

The move is to accept that the token and the sale are different things: the security is the promise the issuer made, and promises can be kept or abandoned.

Regulation Crypto Assets: the proposed rulebook

An interpretation tells you what is a security; it does not tell an issuer how to sell one lawfully. On August 21, 2026 the SEC proposed Regulation Crypto Assets (Releases 33-11434 and 34-106150, File S7-2026-27) to fill that gap. The comment period closes October 20, 2026. The proposal is built on the premise that existing registration frameworks were designed for companies issuing shares and are unfit for what it calls “covered investment contracts”: non-security crypto assets sold under an investment contract.

The three main pieces

Component Limit or condition Disclosure Who it is for
Startup Exemption (Subpart B, Rule 200) Up to $5 million over a four-year period; covers capital raises, airdrops and network rewards Principles-based narrative disclosure; no financial statements Early teams distributing a token before a network is functional
Fundraising Exemption (Subpart C, Rules 300 to 307) Up to $75 million per 12 months, in two tiers; modelled on Regulation A Narrative disclosure plus financial statements and ongoing reporting Foundations and companies funding development through token sales
Investment contract safe harbor (Subpart D, Rule 400) Conditions under which an asset is deemed not subject to an investment contract Tied to the issuer’s fulfilment of promised efforts Projects seeking a clean exit from securities status as the network matures

Common rules apply to both exemptions. Rule 103 asks for disclosure tailored to the asset: the ecosystem, governance, development plans and security, rather than the company-centric line items of a share prospectus. Rule 104 imports Regulation A’s bad actor disqualifications. Antifraud and antimanipulation provisions apply regardless of exemption. Offering caps are inflation-adjusted under Rule 102, filings go through EDGAR, and reliance on the exemptions is non-exclusive, so an issuer could still use Regulation D or a registered offering instead. For a comparison with how companies rather than tokens reach public markets, see crypto IPOs and SEC filings explained.

The safe harbor is the piece founders care about most and the piece most likely to change between proposal and final rule. The release explicitly declines to make decentralization a bright-line test, noting commenter concerns that it is a continuum rather than a binary. Instead, the asset separates from the investment contract when the issuer has fulfilled its promised managerial efforts, or when a purchaser could no longer reasonably expect the issuer to fulfil or continue them. That is a fact-specific standard, and the comment file will determine how much objective guidance ends up attached to it.

The innovation exemption for tokenized stocks

Separately, on September 17, 2026 the Commission issued an order under its exemptive authority creating a new category called Tokenized Securities Venues. The order lets such venues trade tokenized National Market System stocks through permissioned automated market makers and liquidity pools without registering as exchanges, and exempts liquidity providers supplying their own capital from the dealer definition. The relief runs five years from publication; conditions include identical rights to the underlying share, auditable public smart contracts, trading halts matching the underlying stock, issuer notification and US-person screening. Chairman Paul Atkins described it as a bridge toward durable rulemaking; Commissioner Peirce called it an interim step on the road to permanent rules. Neither statement gives numeric symbol or volume limits. Our tokenized stocks guide covers the product side.

The CFTC moves into spot markets

The CFTC’s half of the story is about acquiring a power it never had. Through 2025 it worked around the statute: an August 2025 “Crypto Sprint” invited comment on routing spot crypto trading through registered futures exchanges, and in September 2025 the two agencies issued a joint statement that registered exchanges were not barred from listing spot crypto products. Chairman Michael Selig was sworn in on December 22, 2025, and as of October 2026 the Commission’s own commissioners page lists him alone, so the agency is acting with a single sitting member.

In 2026 the agency shifted from workarounds to rulemaking. Staff FAQs released March 20, 2026 and updated September 24, 2026 covered tokenized collateral, digital assets as margin, investing customer funds in tokenized permitted investments, and using blockchains to meet recordkeeping requirements. On September 28, 2026 the CFTC registered Coinbase Clearing LLC as a derivatives clearing organization. Then on October 5, 2026 it published an Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking for two frameworks, Regulation Crypto Asset Transactions (CTX) and Regulation Crypto Asset Markets (CAM), under section 2(c)(2)(D) of the Commodity Exchange Act, the provision covering leveraged retail commodity transactions.

The ANPRM would create a new designated contract market registration category built for crypto asset transactions. Reporting on the release describes three resulting lanes: state-licensed spot exchanges under CFTC anti-fraud oversight only, federal registration for leveraged retail crypto under CTX and CAM, and the existing DCM regime for derivatives. Federal registration is voluntary; access to retail leverage is the incentive. The CFTC also signalled that publishing software alone would not trigger registration, and that transferring assets to a customer wallet within 28 days would satisfy the actual delivery exception. Leverage limits, capital standards and custody models are not yet specified. Comments are due 60 days after Federal Register publication. The same day, the agency issued a no-action letter letting DCMs convert perpetual-style index futures into true perpetual futures, which bears on the market described in our perpetual futures guide.

Event contracts and prediction markets

The CFTC’s other 2026 workload was event contracts. Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket list binary contracts on elections, economic data, sports and culture on CFTC-registered DCMs through self-certification. Three staff advisories tightened the process without new rules: a July 24, 2026 advisory warned DCMs against broad template-style certifications that bundle many contract variations into one filing; an August 12, 2026 advisory addressed self-certification of incentive programs; and a September 22, 2026 advisory on “mention markets”, contracts that settle on whether a named person says a word or attends an event, said they carry a heightened manipulation risk because settlement turns on one person’s conduct. Reporting from late September 2026 described three active CFTC investigations into Polymarket contracts and a Kalshi request to permit margin on event contracts other than sports and mention markets. How these venues work is covered in how prediction markets work.

Where the CLARITY Act stands

Guidance can be reversed by the next administration, which is why the industry’s priority became legislation. The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, H.R. 3633, passed the House on July 17, 2025 by 294 to 134, with 78 Democrats joining every Republican. Its core mechanism is a definition: a “digital commodity” is a token whose value derives from the use and functioning of a blockchain, and a network that meets a decentralization test, with no single party controlling it, is treated as a commodity system whose tokens fall to the CFTC. Tokens sold to raise capital would be securities at issuance but could transition to commodity status once the network matures. The bill would give the CFTC full authority over spot digital commodity markets, require exchanges to register with one agency or the other, and impose customer asset segregation and disclosure rules.

The Senate took most of a year. The Agriculture Committee approved its digital commodity title in January 2026 and the Banking Committee reported its securities title on May 14, 2026 by 15 to 9, according to CCS reporting at the time. The merged text stalled through the summer over the decentralization test, DeFi treatment, the SEC’s residual authority and, decisively, ethics provisions restricting crypto holdings by the President, his family and senior officials. Republicans circulated a 635-page revision with 126 Democratic-requested changes over the weekend before the vote.

On September 15, 2026 the Senate voted on cloture on the motion to proceed to H.R. 3633. It failed 49 to 50 with one senator not voting; 60 votes were required. Three Republicans (Collins, Hawley and Tillis) voted no, and seven Democratic co-sponsors of the Senate text, including Gillibrand, Warner and Booker, voted against proceeding. A cloture failure on a motion to proceed means the Senate never began debating the bill. It does not kill the measure, which remains on the calendar, but with midterm elections in November 2026 there is no obvious path before the 119th Congress ends in January 2027. Within days Coinbase chief executive Brian Armstrong said the industry could no longer wait on Congress and would focus on the SEC and CFTC, and the Fairshake political action committee announced spending against senators it blamed for the stall.

What the agencies can and cannot do without a statute

  • They can interpret the definition of security (the March 2026 taxonomy), write exemptions for securities offerings (Regulation Crypto Assets), grant exemptive orders (the innovation exemption) and use existing CEA provisions on leveraged retail transactions (the CTX and CAM ANPRM).
  • They cannot give the CFTC plenary authority over unleveraged spot commodity markets, pre-empt state money transmitter regimes, bind a future Commission, or create a statutory decentralization test that courts must apply.

GENIUS Act implementation

One piece of the puzzle did make it into statute. The GENIUS Act, passed by the Senate 68 to 30 on June 17, 2025 and by the House 308 to 122 on July 17, 2025, was signed on July 18, 2025. It creates a federal licence for payment stablecoin issuers, requires 100 percent reserve backing in dollars, Treasury bills of 93 days or less or insured deposits, mandates monthly reserve disclosure, and takes effect on the earlier of 18 months after enactment (about January 18, 2027) or 120 days after the primary regulators finalise their rules. The SEC’s March 2026 taxonomy then defined stablecoins by reference to the GENIUS permitted issuer status, so the two regimes are linked.

Rulemaking has run through 2026. Treasury took comment on an advance notice in autumn 2025; the OCC and FDIC proposed rules for national bank and insured bank subsidiaries in early 2026 with comments due in May 2026; and on September 24, 2026 the Federal Reserve proposed two rules for Board-supervised issuers, one setting reserve, capital and custody standards and one setting the application process, with a 60-day comment period. Final rules from all three banking agencies are the trigger that could pull the effective date forward from January 2027. The European parallel, where the rules have been in force since 2024, is covered in what is MiCA, and the tax treatment of stablecoin and token transactions in US crypto tax rules explained.

Why it matters to an institution

The classification decides everything downstream. A commodity can be held through a spot ETF, traded on a CFTC-registered venue and custodied by a bank under commodity rules; see how spot bitcoin ETFs work and the ETF tracker. A security requires a registered issuer, a registered exchange or ATS, a transfer agent and broker-dealer or qualified custody, none of which most tokens have. Until the line is in statute, an institution holding anything beyond bitcoin and ether is holding an asset whose legal status rests on agency guidance, and its compliance team knows it.

What changed in 2026 is the quality of that guidance. A general counsel can now point to a published taxonomy with defined categories, a proposed rule with dollar thresholds and a stated test for when an investment contract ends. That is a far better position than relying on a 2019 staff framework and a stack of inconsistent district court opinions. But it is a position built on three votes at one agency and one sitting commissioner at the other, which is why the September 2026 Senate vote mattered more to institutional desks than to the price of bitcoin.

How we got here: a timeline

Ripple ruling splits XRP. A New York federal judge holds programmatic exchange sales of XRP were not securities while institutional sales were.

SEC forms Crypto Task Force. Commissioner Hester Peirce is named to lead it; the enforcement-first approach ends and SAB 121 is rescinded.

Cases dropped, memecoins addressed. The SEC dismisses its Coinbase case and staff state that memecoins are generally not securities.

CLARITY passes the House, GENIUS becomes law. H.R. 3633 passes 294 to 134 on July 17; the GENIUS Act is signed July 18.

Joint SEC and CFTC statement. The agencies say registered exchanges are not barred from listing spot crypto products.

Selig sworn in at the CFTC. Michael Selig becomes Chairman on December 22, 2025.

SEC token taxonomy. Release 33-11412 defines five categories and says most crypto assets are not securities.

Senate Banking reports its title. The committee advances the securities half of market structure 15 to 9.

Regulation Crypto Assets proposed. $5 million Startup and $75 million Fundraising exemptions plus a safe harbor; comments due October 20, 2026.

CLARITY fails cloture, innovation exemption issued. The Senate votes 49 to 50 on September 15; the SEC’s tokenized stock order follows on September 17 and the Fed proposes GENIUS rules on September 24.

Peirce departs, both agencies propose. Peirce leaves on October 1; the SEC proposes crypto custody rules the same day and the CFTC opens its CTX and CAM rulemaking on October 5.

Worked example: classifying three tokens under the proposed framework

Assume a compliance team in October 2026 must classify three real tokens for a fund’s investment policy using the March 2026 interpretation and the August 2026 proposal. The steps are the same each time: identify the category, ask whether an issuer made promises of essential managerial efforts, ask whether those promises have been fulfilled or abandoned, then determine which agency’s rules govern trading and custody. The proposed rules are not final.

Token 1: ether (ETH). Step one: category. ETH pays for computation on a network that has operated since 2015, and its value tracks use of that network and market dynamics, so it fits the digital commodity definition. Step two: investment contract. The 2014 presale involved a foundation promising to build the network. Step three: has the contract ended? The network has been functional for a decade, the promised efforts were delivered, and the SEC approved spot ether ETFs as commodity-based products in 2024. Conclusion: digital commodity with no live investment contract; spot trading is a CFTC anti-fraud matter, derivatives are CFTC-registered, and ETF or bank custody under commodity rules is available. Staking the position does not create a securities offer under the March 2026 release.

Token 2: dogecoin (DOGE). Step one: DOGE has no issuing company, no treasury and no development roadmap funded by sales; it is a digital reference to an internet meme, which the interpretation names as an example of a digital collectible. Step two: there was never an issuer inducing investment with promises of managerial effort, consistent with the February 2025 staff statement that memecoins are generally not securities. Step three: not applicable. Conclusion: not a security; the only federal hook on spot trading is CFTC anti-fraud authority, and a venue listing it with retail leverage would fall under the proposed CTX and CAM regime once finalised. See memecoins explained.

Token 3: XRP. Step one: XRP settles payments on the XRP Ledger and is used by exchanges and payment firms, which points to digital commodity. Step two: Ripple sold XRP to institutions under contracts that the 2023 court found were investment contracts, so an investment contract did exist for those buyers. Step three: the question under the 2026 interpretation is whether purchasers still reasonably expect Ripple’s essential managerial efforts to drive value, or whether those efforts have been fulfilled. The ledger has run since 2012 and secondary market sales were already held not to be securities transactions. Conclusion: a strong argument that any investment contract has terminated and the asset is a digital commodity today, with the residual risk sitting in any new Ripple institutional sale made with fresh promises.

The arithmetic for a new issuer. Now suppose a fourth team wants to sell a token to fund a network that does not yet exist. Under the proposal, its token is a non-security asset subject to a covered investment contract. If it needs $4 million over three years for airdrops and grants, the Startup Exemption’s $5 million per four-year cap covers it with narrative disclosure only. If it wants $60 million in one year, it exceeds the Startup cap and must use the Fundraising Exemption (under the $75 million 12-month ceiling) with financial statements and ongoing reporting. If it wants $120 million in one year, the proposal does not help and it must register, use Regulation D with accredited investors, or sell offshore. Once the network is live and the team’s promised work is done, the Rule 400 safe harbor is the route to shedding securities status.

Token Category (Mar 2026 interpretation) Investment contract live? Primary regulator for spot trading
ETH Digital commodity No: promised efforts fulfilled CFTC (anti-fraud now; CTX and CAM if leveraged)
DOGE Digital collectible Never existed CFTC (anti-fraud)
XRP Digital commodity Arguably terminated; institutional sales were contracts CFTC, with SEC exposure on new promissory sales
New $60m launch Non-security asset under a covered investment contract Yes, until the safe harbor applies SEC (Fundraising Exemption), then CFTC

How to evaluate a token’s regulatory status: a checklist

  • Which of the five categories fits? Start with the March 2026 taxonomy. A token that is clearly a share, bond or fund interest in token form is a digital security and the rest of the analysis does not matter.
  • Was there an issuer making promises? Look at the original sale documents, whitepaper and marketing. Promises to build, list, buy back or grow are the “essential managerial efforts” that create an investment contract.
  • Have those promises been fulfilled or abandoned? A functional mainnet, delivered roadmap or defunct team each argue the contract has ended. Ongoing treasury-funded development that buyers still rely on argues it has not.
  • Is the network functional? The digital commodity definition requires a functional crypto system. A token whose network is still on testnet cannot be a digital commodity yet.
  • Which exemption did the issuer use, if any? After Regulation Crypto Assets is finalised, check EDGAR for Startup or Fundraising Exemption filings and whether the issuer met its reporting obligations.
  • Where does it trade, and under which registration? A CFTC-registered DCM, a state-licensed spot exchange, an SEC-registered ATS and an offshore venue carry different protections and different legal exposure for a US holder.
  • How is it custodied? If the token might be a security, an adviser needs a qualified custodian; the October 2026 SEC proposal would broaden who qualifies. A commodity has no federal custody rule.
  • What is the stablecoin status? For a dollar token, is the issuer a GENIUS permitted payment stablecoin issuer or on track to become one before the 2027 effective date?
  • Is the position reversible? Everything above rests on an interpretation and proposed rules. Document the reliance so the position can be revisited if the Commission’s composition or the statute changes.

Risks and open questions

Reversibility. The 2026 framework is administrative. An interpretation can be withdrawn, a proposed rule can be abandoned before adoption, and an exemptive order can be modified by a later Commission. Peirce’s departure on October 1, 2026 removes the architect of the Crypto Task Force, and the CFTC is operating with a single commissioner. Statute was supposed to lock in the gains; the September 2026 vote means that lock is not in place.

The safe harbor test. Both the interpretation and Regulation Crypto Assets rely on whether an issuer’s promised efforts have been fulfilled or can no longer reasonably be expected. That is a judgement about expectations, not a checklist, and the release explicitly declined to make decentralization a bright line. Until the final rule or a court applies it, two lawyers can read the same project differently, which is the problem the framework was meant to end.

Gaps between the agencies. The SEC taxonomy says digital commodities are not securities; the CFTC ANPRM proposes how venues trading them would register. Neither document defines the handoff. A token that leaves securities status through the safe harbor lands in a CFTC regime that is still an advance notice, with leverage limits, capital and custody standards unspecified. State money transmitter law continues to apply to spot venues that do not opt into federal registration.

Prediction markets and politics. Event contracts have become a politically visible part of the CFTC’s remit, with investigations into Polymarket contracts and advisories on mention markets in September 2026. A midterm election in November 2026 with active election markets could produce the incident that forces Congress to legislate on event contracts separately from the broader market structure fight.

What to watch next

  • October 20, 2026: Regulation Crypto Assets comments close. The comment file will show whether issuers accept the $5 million and $75 million caps and how much objective guidance they want attached to the Rule 400 safe harbor.
  • Late November to early December 2026: SEC custody proposal and CFTC ANPRM comments close. Both run 60 days from Federal Register publication; the CFTC file will reveal whether major exchanges see federal registration as worth the cost.
  • November 3, 2026: US midterm elections. Control of the Senate decides whether a market structure bill returns in the 120th Congress and what ethics provisions it carries.
  • Late 2026: Federal Reserve GENIUS comment period ends. Final rules from the OCC, FDIC and Fed would start the 120-day clock that could bring the GENIUS effective date forward from January 18, 2027.
  • Early 2027: SEC and CFTC nominations. A replacement for Peirce and additional CFTC commissioners would determine whether the proposed rules are adopted as written.
  • 2027: adoption of Regulation Crypto Assets. The final rule, and the first filings under it, will show whether token launches return onshore.

Glossary

Howey test
The 1946 Supreme Court standard for an investment contract: an investment of money, in a common enterprise, with an expectation of profit derived from the efforts of others.
Investment contract
One of the instruments listed in the statutory definition of security. Under the 2026 SEC interpretation, it is the promise an issuer makes when selling a crypto asset, separate from the asset itself.
Digital commodity
A crypto asset whose value derives from the programmatic operation of a functional crypto system and market dynamics. Not a security under the March 2026 interpretation.
Digital collectible
A crypto asset designed to be collected or used, such as art, in-game items or a reference to a meme. Not a security.
Digital tool
A crypto asset with a practical function such as a ticket, membership, credential or identity badge. Not a security.
Digital security
A conventional security such as a share or bond recorded as a token on a crypto network. A security in every respect.
Covered investment contract
The proposed Regulation Crypto Assets term for a non-security crypto asset that is sold subject to an investment contract.
Safe harbor
A rule stating that if listed conditions are met, an asset is deemed outside a legal definition. Rule 400 of the proposal would deem an asset not subject to an investment contract.
Cloture
The Senate procedure to end debate and move to a vote, requiring 60 votes. The September 15, 2026 CLARITY vote was cloture on the motion to proceed, the step before debate begins.
Designated contract market (DCM)
A CFTC-registered exchange for futures, options, swaps and event contracts. The October 2026 ANPRM proposes a new DCM category for crypto asset transactions.
Event contract
A derivative that pays out on whether a specified event occurs; the instrument underlying prediction markets.
Section 2(c)(2)(D)
The Commodity Exchange Act provision covering leveraged or margined retail commodity transactions, the legal basis for the CFTC’s CTX and CAM frameworks.
Permitted payment stablecoin issuer
An entity licensed under the GENIUS Act to issue dollar stablecoins, which the SEC taxonomy uses to define the stablecoin category.
Tokenized Securities Venue
The entity category created by the SEC’s September 2026 innovation exemption for trading tokenized NMS stocks through permissioned automated market makers.

Why it matters

For twelve years the US regulated crypto by litigation, and the question of which agency owned a token was answered one court case at a time. In 2026 both agencies finally wrote down their answers: the SEC said what is and is not a security and proposed how to sell the ones that are, and the CFTC proposed how to supervise trading in the ones that are not. That is the most coherent framework the US has had, and it is also entirely dependent on who holds the pen. The CLARITY Act was the attempt to take the pen away from the agencies and hand the answer to Congress, and on September 15, 2026 it fell one vote short of a debate.

The practical lesson for anyone holding, issuing or listing a token is to use the clarity that exists while documenting its fragility. Classify under the taxonomy, plan launches around the proposed exemptions, and watch the comment files, the nominations and the November 2026 election, because each of them can move the line that a decade of lawsuits could not.

Sources

  1. SEC: SEC Clarifies the Application of Federal Securities Laws to Crypto Assets (Release 2026-30), March 17, 2026
  2. SEC: Fact Sheet, Interpretation on Crypto Assets (Release 33-11412), March 17, 2026
  3. SEC: Regulation Crypto Assets, Proposing Release (33-11434; 34-106150; S7-2026-27), August 21, 2026
  4. SEC: SEC Issues Innovation Exemption to Facilitate the Trading of Tokenized NMS Stock (Release 2026-90), September 17, 2026
  5. SEC: Chairman Atkins, Statement on the Innovation Exemption: A Bridge Toward Durable Rulemaking, September 17, 2026
  6. SEC: Commissioner Peirce, Slumber Number: Innovation Exemption Statement, September 17, 2026
  7. SEC: Proposal on How Investment Advisers and Funds Can Custody Crypto Assets (Release 2026-100), October 1, 2026
  8. SEC: Atkins and Uyeda, Statement on Departure of Commissioner Hester Peirce, October 1, 2026
  9. US Senate: Roll Call Vote 119-2-234, Cloture on the Motion to Proceed to H.R. 3633, September 15, 2026
  10. CFTC: CFTC Seeks Public Comment on ANPRM Relating to Regulation Crypto Asset Transactions and Regulation Crypto Asset Markets (9307-26), October 5, 2026
  11. CFTC: Staff Releases Updates to FAQs Concerning Crypto Assets and Blockchain Technologies (9303-26), September 24, 2026
  12. CFTC: CFTC Releases Staff Advisory on Mention Markets (9302-26), September 22, 2026
  13. CFTC: CFTC Releases Advisory on Self-Certification of an Event Contract Series (9273-26), July 24, 2026
  14. CFTC: Commissioners, accessed October 6, 2026
  15. Crypto Coin Show: Senate Democrats block CLARITY Act over Trump ethics provisions, September 15, 2026
  16. Crypto Coin Show: CFTC opens rulemaking for retail crypto leverage to compete with offshore trading, October 5, 2026
  17. Crypto Coin Show: Fed proposes reserve and capital rules for GENIUS Act stablecoins, September 24, 2026
  18. Crypto Coin Show: The GENIUS Act, updated March 2026
  19. Crypto Coin Show: Kalshi Klear asks CFTC to permit margin on event contracts, September 22, 2026
  20. Crypto Coin Show: Polymarket appoints ex-Goldman Sachs partner amid three CFTC investigations, September 29, 2026

Disclosure: This guide is for education only and is not investment, legal or tax advice.

Frequently asked questions

Is bitcoin a security?

No. The SEC and CFTC both treat bitcoin as a commodity, which is why it trades on CFTC-regulated futures exchanges and is held in spot ETFs approved as commodity-based products. Under the SEC's March 2026 interpretation it is a digital commodity: its value derives from the programmatic operation of a functional network and market dynamics, not from a promoter's managerial efforts.

What is the Howey test?

A test from the 1946 Supreme Court case SEC v. Howey for whether an arrangement is an investment contract: an investment of money, in a common enterprise, with an expectation of profit, derived from the efforts of others. The SEC's 2026 interpretation applies it to the sale of a token rather than the token itself, so an asset can be subject to an investment contract and later cease to be.

What does the CLARITY Act do?

The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, H.R. 3633, passed the House 294 to 134 on July 17, 2025. It defines digital commodities, sets a decentralization test for when a network token falls under CFTC rather than SEC jurisdiction, gives the CFTC authority over spot digital commodity markets, and requires exchanges to register with one agency. It failed a Senate cloture vote 49 to 50 on September 15, 2026 and has not become law.

Why can the CFTC not supervise spot exchanges today?

The CFTC's authority over commodity spot markets is limited to prosecuting fraud and manipulation. It can register and supervise derivatives exchanges but has no general statutory power to license a spot venue. Its October 5, 2026 advance notice of proposed rulemaking uses the Commodity Exchange Act's leveraged retail transaction provision to build a voluntary federal registration category, with leverage as the incentive to opt in.

What are the five crypto asset categories in the SEC's 2026 interpretation?

Digital commodities, digital collectibles, digital tools, stablecoins and digital securities. Only digital securities are securities in themselves; stablecoins are defined by reference to GENIUS Act permitted issuers; the other three are not securities but can be sold under an investment contract if the issuer promises essential managerial efforts. The interpretation was issued on March 17, 2026.

What is Regulation Crypto Assets?

An SEC rule proposed on August 21, 2026 that creates crypto-specific offering exemptions: a Startup Exemption of up to $5 million over four years, a Fundraising Exemption of up to $75 million per 12 months modelled on Regulation A, and a conditional safe harbor under which an asset is deemed not subject to an investment contract once the issuer's promised efforts are fulfilled. Comments are due by October 20, 2026.

Does the SEC's innovation exemption let crypto exchanges trade stocks?

Partly. The September 17, 2026 order creates Tokenized Securities Venues that may trade tokenized NMS stocks through permissioned automated market makers without registering as exchanges, for five years, under conditions including identical shareholder rights, auditable smart contracts and trading halts matching the underlying stock. It does not cover tokens that are not already securities.

When does the GENIUS Act take effect?

The GENIUS Act was signed on July 18, 2025 and takes effect on the earlier of 18 months after enactment, around January 18, 2027, or 120 days after the primary federal regulators finalise their implementing rules. The OCC and FDIC proposed rules in early 2026 and the Federal Reserve proposed reserve, capital and application rules on September 24, 2026, so final rules could pull the date forward.

This explainer is reviewed and updated as the rules and the market change. Last reviewed October 5, 2026. It is educational content and not financial, legal or tax advice.

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